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Predictions vs. reality

IFPA-sanctioned tournaments scored against our calibrated model. The headline track record is blind — player ratings are frozen at each event's start, so the model never saw the games it's graded on. Click any card to see the full table or bracket.

Events — —
Top pick won — #1 favorite = winner
Winner in top 10 — On our shortlist
Elite events — —
Brier score — —
— Click a card to expand
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