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Predictions vs. reality

IFPA-sanctioned tournaments scored against our calibrated model. The headline track record is blind — player ratings are frozen at each event's start, so the model never saw the games it's graded on. Click any card to see the full table or bracket.

Events
Top pick won #1 favorite = winner
Winner in top 10 On our shortlist
Elite events
Brier score
Click a card to expand
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